Which party – Democrat or Republican? Which nominees are the maximum in all likelihood to win their party's nomination? How lots will the gender or "race" of candidates affect the 2016 election?
As of today, Hillary Clinton needs to be taken into consideration the fave for 3 huge motives. right here they may be of their order of importance.
- The electoral map. within the 6 presidential elections since 1992, the Democratic candidate has won 18 states + DC whenever. That’s 242 general electoral votes. The Republican nominee has gained thirteen states in every one of those elections. That’s 102 electoral votes. If Clinton wins the 18 states + DC that each Democratic has won on the grounds that 1992 and he or she wins Florida (29 electoral votes) the election is over. She is president.
- The demographics. Republicans had a demographic hassle going into this election. they may be going through down a demographic nightmare now. Mitt Romney gained 27 percentage of the Hispanic vote in 2012. Trump is, currently, doing half that well. Given the huge boom within the Hispanic network and the declining percent of the white vote as a characteristic of the overall voters, that’s a big hassle.
- Donald Trump. Trump gets blamed more than he likely need to if he loses on November eight. Trump hasn’t helped himself together with his inflammatory rhetoric and unwillingness to live on message of direction.